Don’t you just love Easter? 4 days weekend, time to relax with family and friends but most important of all a looong weekend of footy! It’s been a cracker of a week of footy so far kicking off with an intimidating performance by Browny which Matty P and myself were lucky enough to enjoy live at the Gabba. How I missed live footy, can’t wait for the Lions V Cats clash in the middle of the year. Have Freo come of age? Can Melbourne keep up the passion they showed in in their epic encounter with Collingwood? Can the tiges win a game this year? Who would you tip out of Freo and Sydney at a neutral venue?
So many questions but the biggest question of all lies on today’s blockbuster at the MCG – Geelong VS Hawthorn. I’m being my usual skeptical self and am putting on a 5er on the Hawks under 40 points currently paying $3. This bet means either Matty P or I will come out with a win (finally) in the $100 AFL Betting Challenge. Don’t worry though, I’m barracking hard for my mighty Catters and nothing would please me more than topping off the Hawks. Yes, 2008 still hurts and will probably hurt to some degree for the rest of my life. It’s a safety bet and you’ll see me placing a lot more of these when the cats play games against the big guns.
The boys are coming over this afternoon to get our footy and drink on, should be a ripper of an afternoon. Sort of has a September feel to today so hoping for a special game and some footy banter.
I’m just running through what other bets you can place and thought I’d share some thoughts.
Most Disposals
Sam Mitchell looks like great value at $5.50 but not against all conquering mighty captain Ling. He’ll keep Mitchell to around 15-25 disposals today, would be very surprised if he cracked over 30. Depending on where Hodge is he may collect him it all depends on who Ling goes to. Ablett is probably going to get the most disposals and has reasonably good odds of $2.75. He has ripper games against the Hawks. I like these odds so much I’m going to put $3 on Ablett for most disposals at $2.75. Add to the fact that it’s the son of God’s special weekend and he IS the son of God so he’s bound to have a cracker!!
First Goal
There’s some fairly good odds around. It’s pretty much a lottery for first goal but I reckon Byrnes or Mooney are a good pick for first goal at $13 and $8.50.
Most Goals
Most goals not surprisingly Franklin is no1 at $4.75. I really like Byrnes but maybe he’s getting too much attention as of late and he’ll be respected a little better than previously. Byrnes is paying $13 for most goals. Personally I’d rather put a punt on him for first than most goals. Roughy is $7.50 for those playing at home.
So that’s it. Beno has just arrived. Let the afternoon commence!!